However, in 2016, young voters ages 18 to 29 were the only age group to report increased turnout compared to 2012, with a reported turnout increase of 1.1 percent. For the most part, from 1980 to 2012, the share of reported voters who were non-Hispanic white decreased from one presidential election cycle to the next (Figure 3).1 In 1980, 87.6 percent of reported voters were non-Hispanic white, but by 2012, this number decreased to 73.7 percent. 3 Between 2000 and 2004, the share of voters who were black also decreased. Th… A majority of these additional voters (3.7 million) were 65 years and older. Table 1 shows changes in both the number of reported voters and the citizen voting-age population between 2012 and 2016. For other race non-Hispanics and Hispanics of any race, voting rates between 2012 and 2016 were not statistically different for any age groups. Although the Census Bureau has collected voting and registration data since 1964, the Current Population Survey has gathered citizenship data since 1978. In 2016, 61.4 percent of the citizen voting-age population reported voting, a number not statistically different from the 61.8 percent who reported voting in 2012. In 2012, voting rates for non-Hispanic blacks (66.6 percent) were higher than non-Hispanic whites (64.1 percent) for the first time in this series. Since 1964, the U.S. Census Bureau has fielded the Voting and Registration Supplement to the Current Population Survey every two years. In election years, the Current Population Survey collects data on reported voting and registration, and later reports stats by turnout, age, race and origin. Additionally, 2016 was only the second election in this series where the share of non-Hispanic black voters decreased, from 12.9 percent in 2012 to 11.9 percent in 2016.3. 1 Between 1988 and 1992, the share of voters who were non-Hispanic white were not statistically different. English political scientist Lloyd Gruber said, "One of the major casualties of the 2016 election season has been the reputation of political science, a discipline whose practitioners had largely dismissed Donald Trump's chances of gaining the Republican nomination." Today, the Census Bureau released a series of tabulations and data products alongside a public use data file for the November 2016 presidential election. 2016 U.S. presidential election: general election voter turnout, by state. Remember, despite these additional reported voters, the overall voting rate was not statistically different between the two elections. Just 13% of validated voters in 2016 were younger than 30. In general, voting rates from the sample surveys such as the Current Population Survey are higher than official results. In addition to race, Hispanic origin and age, reported voting rates varied according to a variety of other social, demographic and economic factors as well. The news media and election experts were surprised at Trump's winning the Electoral College. In 2016, this was once again the case, as citizens 65 years and older reported higher turnout (70.9 percent) than 45- to 64-year-olds (66.6 percent), 30- to 44-year-olds (58.7 percent) and 18- to 29-year-olds (46.1 percent). In comparison to 2012, younger non-Hispanic whites between the ages of 18 to 29 and between the ages of 30 to 44 reported higher turnout in 2016, while voting rates for the two oldest groups of non-Hispanic whites were not statistically different (Figure 5). Meanwhile, for non-Hispanic blacks, turnout rates decreased in 2016 for every age group. Potential explanations for this difference include item nonresponse, vote misreporting, problems with memory or knowledge of othersâ voting behavior, and methodological issues related to question wording and survey administration. In any given presidential election, the number of reported voters typically increases relative to the previous presidential election, largely as a product of increases in the size of the citizen voting-age population. In 2016, turnout increased to 65.3 percent for non-Hispanic whites, but decreased to 59.6 percent for non-Hispanic blacks. This entry was posted on May 10, 2017 and filed under Current Population Survey (CPS) and Voting & Registration. Race and voter turnout Trump received a majority of the white vote (58 percent), putting him 21 percentage points over Clinton (37 percent)—just one point higher than Romney’s share of … For comparison, see the interactive charts with current and historical daily totals from the 2020 and 2016 general elections, beginning during the one-stop early voting periods. Among voters ages 30 to 49, 51% supported Clinton and 40% favored Trump. Figure 1 presents voting rates for the citizen voting-age population for each presidential election since 1980. When analyzed together, reported turnout by age, race and Hispanic origin differed in 2016 as well. Voters in this age group reported voting for Clinton over Trump by a margin of 58% to 28%, with 14% supporting one of the third-party candidates. In addition to the requirement that individuals be at least 18 years old, voters in national elections must also be U.S. citizens. From Business Insider. In 2016, this was once again the case, as citizens 65 years and older reported higher turnout (70.9 percent) than 45- to 64-year-olds (66.6 percent), 30- to 44-year-olds (58.7 percent) and 18- to 29-year-olds (46.1 percent). Voting rates have historically varied by race and Hispanic origin (Figure 2). 2 Between 1988 and 1992, the share of voters who were either other race non-Hispanic or Hispanic of any race were not statistically different. All older age groups either reported small yet statistically significant turnout decreases (45- to 64-year-olds and those age 65 and older) or turnout rates not statistically different from 2012 (30- to 44-year-olds). Voting estimates from the Current Population Survey and other sample surveys have historically differed from those based on administrative data, such as the official results reported by each state and disseminated collectively by the Clerk of U.S. House of Representatives and the Federal Election Commission. View the interactive maps below, accompanied by a breakdown of voter turnout by party affiliation. Voter turnout this year dipped to nearly its lowest point in two decades. For example, on the eve of the vote, spread betting firm Spreadexhad Clinton at an Electoral College spread of 307-322 against Trump's 216-231. Over this same period, the distribution of voters who reported being either non-white or Hispanic increased in most elections.2 However, in 2016, for only the second time in this series, the percentage of voters who were non-Hispanic white (73.3) was not statistically different from the previous presidential election, meaning that the consistently observed year-to-year decrease did not occur in this most recent cycle. By selecting this link you will leave www.census.gov. From United States Elections Project. Overall, in 2016, there were about 4.6 million more reported voters than in 2012. Despite these issues, the Census Bureauâs November supplement to the Current Population Survey remains the most comprehensive data source available for examining the social and demographic composition of the electorate in federal elections, particularly when examining broad historical trends for subpopulations. Voting rates have also historically varied according to age, with older Americans generally voting at higher rates than younger Americans (Figure 4). Between 1996 and 2000, the share of voters who were other race non-Hispanic were not statistically different. Written by: Thom File, Social, Economic and Housing Statistics Division, Voting in America: A Look at the 2016 Presidential Election, Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (1), American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) (1), Annual Survey of School System Finances (1), Associate Director for Information Technology and Chief Information Officer (1), Deputy Director and Chief Operating Officer (1), Information & Communication Technology (5), Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA) Program (1), Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander (NHOPI) (2), Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (1), Small Area Health Insurance Estimates (SAHIE) (1), Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) (3), Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) (1), Survey of Market Absorption of New Multifamily Units (SOMA) (1), Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP), Measuring the Impact of Tourism to Local Areas. To sign up for updates please enter your contact information below. Measuring America's People, Places, and Economy. Please check the Privacy Policy of the site you are visiting. However, those 138 million Americans only make up 58.1% of our voting-eligible population (those American citizens over 18). Around 138 million Americans voted in the 2016 presidential election. Readers are invited to explore the Census Bureauâs additional voting and registration resources for the 2016 election and beyond. When analyzed alongside race and Hispanic origin, in 2016 a large portion of the additional reported voters (2.8 million) were non-Hispanic whites who were also 65 years of age and older. Voter turnout in U.S. presidential elections by gender 1964-2016 Voter turnout in U.S. presidential elections by age 1964-2016 Major political party identification U.S. 2000-2019 Additionally, between 1984 and 1988, and 1988 and 1992, the share of voters who were non-Hispanic black were not statistically different.
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